27th October 2014
Written by Viv Forbes of carbon-sense.com
Governments
are running huge deficits, but still spend billions on climate research
especially trying to model the effect of the atmosphere and its trace
of carbon dioxide on surface temperature. Benefits are hard to find. It
may have improved weather forecasts by a day or so, but official
long-term predictions have not improved in the last fifty years. This is
because carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is not the driver of weather
or climate.
Around
the world there are five official weather data-bases, about 14 weather
satellites, 73 climate computer models, and thousands of academics
receiving grants and attending never-ending climate conferences. Much of
this torrent of public money is now focused on trying to torture a
climate confession out of one normally unnoticed and totally innocent
trace gas in the atmosphere carbon dioxide.
The
major determinants of surface weather are latitude, earth’s rotation,
the seasons, the sun with its variable radiations and orbital changes;
and nearness to the oceans which maintain the water cycle, moderate
temperatures and house massive volcanic chains.
Earth’s
mighty oceans cover 70% of the surface. Evaporation of water and
convection in the atmosphere transfer large quantities of solar heat
from the surface to the stratosphere. This process creates clouds, rain
and snow and also forms low pressure zones which are the birthplace for
cyclones and hurricanes. Wind direction and strength are related to
sun-generated convection in the atmosphere, the transfer of solar heat
from the equator to the poles, and the Coriolis effect of the rotation
of the earth. Carbon dioxide plays no significant part in these
processes.
Oceans
also conceal most of the volcanic ring-of-fire and are home to huge
numbers of volcanoes, many of which are active. The mighty
weather-changing ENSO/El Nino starts with a pool of warm water in the
eastern Pacific. Carbon dioxide plays no part in creating such
hot-spots, but periodic eruption of undersea volcanoes may do it. We
know less about the floor of the oceans and their volcanoes than we do
about the surface of Mars.
What
is referred to reverently as “climate research” is mainly just
grubby advocacy supporting the political war on carbon. Why are we still
funding scientists who believe that “the science is settled”? If
they believe that they know the answers, what are they are doing with
their research funds?
The
community is getting little benefit from atmospheric research and
climate modelling and that money should be redirected to more productive
areas.
Half
of “climate research” money should be spent on improving the
ability of public infrastructure to survive natural disasters.
The
remaining funds should be spent on real climate research – mapping
the floor of the oceans, with particular reference to locating active
volcanoes; and investigating how volcanism, solar variations and cycles
of the sun, moon, planets and solar system impact long-term weather
forecasts and future climate. This work should preferably be done by
contracting private operators; and the climate models in public hands
should be handed over to practicing meteorologists to see if they are
useful for short-term weather forecasting.
For those who would like to read more:
73 UN Climate models are wrong:
Where Was Climate Research Before Computer Models?
Oceans important in past Climate Changes:
Super volcanos forming beneath Pacific Ocean:
Massive Hot Spot in Iceland:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/10/20/fema-edict-to-u-s-states-provide-a-climate-plan-or-lose-funding/
FEMA edict to U.S. states: ‘Provide a Climate Plan or Lose Funding’
h/t
TriplePundit FEMA, the US Federal Emergency Management Agency, has
issued draft guidance which demands that states include an assessment of
climate risk in their 5 year disaster plan, or risk losing federal
funding.
According to the FEMA draft guidance;
“Key concepts under consideration include strengthening specific requirements for:
Kitzhaber AWOL
The Coos Bay LNG terminal is a $7.5 BILLION private investment
that should be getting super-citing fast track help. That will be the largest private investment in Oregon history
Project Benefits.
The Jordan Cove Project
is a proposed new, state-of the art liquefied natural gas (LNG)
terminal that will establish the Oregon International Port of Coos Bay
as the premier energy center on the U.S. Pacific coast. The
infrastructure built by and for the Jordan Cove Energy Project includes:
- Jordan Cove LNG Terminal
- South Dunes Power Plant
- Pacific Connector Gas Pipeline
The
aggregate investment for these facilities will be greater than $7.5
billion, provide long-term stable employment for more than 150 direct
hire personnel at wages significantly above the area average.
- A
catalyst for regional economic development through job creation,
increased port utilization and increased access to competitive reliable
sources of energy
- Superior
site characteristics through its utilization of a large, 170-acre
parcel for the LNG terminal and a 190 acre parcel for the South Dunes
Power Plant in an existing marine industrial port development area,
remote from residential development
- A location in the Port of Coos Bay that allows for short inland transit distance via an existing, Federally maintained channel
The
associated South Dunes Power Project provides a local source of power
generation with the capability of reinforcing the local electric grid.
Jordan Cove will provide enhanced fire and safety infrastructure and services:
- Southwest Oregon Regional Safety Center (SORSC) fire and safety complex:
Full-time professionally staffed fire stattion;
Crews dedicated to the Jordaan Cove facility;
Coos County Sherriff’s substation;
Offices forr the Port and US Coast Guard; and
• Training rooms and outdoor training area.
- Jordan Cove will partner with SOCC to create a unique LNG Fire Training Center
Jordan Cove is partnering with Southwest Oregon Community
College (SOCC) to add LNG fire training to the SOCC curriculum offering
a first on the West Coast.
Expaanded use of LNG as a maritime and surface transportation
fuel will increase the need for special LNG training SOCC and Coos
Bay will be poised to be the West Coast center for this specialized
training.
http://cdiac.ornl.gov/pns/current_ghg.html
“Concentrations of ozone and water vapor are spatially and temporally variable due to their short atmospheric lifetimes. A vertically and horizontally averaged water vapor concentration is about 5,000 ppm. Globally averaged water vapor concentration is difficult to measure precisely because it varies from one place to another and from one season to the next. This precludes a precise determination of changes in water vapor since pre-industrial time. However, a warmer atmosphere will likely contain more water vapor than at present.”
Total human greenhouse gas contributions add up to about 0.28% of the greenhouse effect.
0.117% of the greenhouse effect is due to atmospheric CO2 from human activity.
AGW is not possible because CO2 emissions did not cause warming or the evaporation of more water.
http://www.climate4you.com/GreenhouseGasses.htm