February 2020 Newsletter
 

 

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I Just Had to Fight
By Angelita Sanchez


Hi, my name is Angelita Sanchez. I'm a small business owner of a trucking company. I own three dump trucks, and I drive the trucks myself. I live in Sweet Home, Oregon. I also have three children. I am a sixth generation Oregonian, and Oregon is my State! It's the land that I love, the land that sustains me, and a land I care deeply about.


When I realized cap and trade was being pushed by our state government, I had to speak up against it. I wasn't going to let them take away anything from me without a fight. Something compelled me, and I couldn't make it to go away. I have never been politically active, but this was too big of an issue to be ignored. I just had to fight.


That fight ultimately landed me a position on the board of Timber Unity as their secretary and made me a key spokesperson. It also gave me an opportunity to speak with the governor and even President Trump's campaign to plead our case. The places it has taken me are quite surreal, but as long as I have a voice, I will push back on government over-regulation.


As you know, Timber Unity started last year with one man. He was scared to lose another mill so he spoke out against cap and trade and asked his friends to join him. I am one of those friends. I went to every convoy in my trucks. I started speaking out against cap and trade because I was scared too.


I was scared that I was going to lose my business. I was scared that I was going to lose all my hard work. I was scared that I wasn't going to be able to provide for my kids. I was scared that my little town would be a ghost town. Now all of us have joined our voices to make one shared voice while we push back on government over-regulation. We even encouraged so strongly that our Republican representatives and senators walked out for us and stopped this terrible legislation last year.


Now they have come back after us in the short session, but once again, our brave Oregon senators boycotted to stop it again. I will tell you that if Timber Unity wasn't there pushing back, our Oregon representatives and senators would not feel empowered enough to fight with us. Now everyone in the grassroots and in politics are fighting together united against this supermajority. Even our county commissioners followed our lead and signed proclamations against this. As of last count, there are 28 counties representing nearly two million Oregonians that oppose cap and trade and refuse to implement it. All our voices are united.


We know that we can't continue to have them walk, so we need to change directions. We will continue to fight, but we have to fight a different way now. It's an election year, so we must vote. We are looking to register every person that's unregistered, change voter's party affiliations from liberal to conservative, and get good candidates running and elected. We must take back this state from the supermajority that is dead set on destroying us. We must continue to stand together united.


Timber Unity is not only about timber, but it's about all of us. Yes, one logger started this, but cap and trade doesn't discriminate. Timber Unity is truly a movement of the people, by the people, and for the people. It is my honor and my privilege to be a voice for so many, but I can't do it alone. I need each and every one of you to stand up with me. We will change this state, and we will do it together.

 

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The Grid is Not a Tinker Toy
By John A. Charles, Jr.
 
Rarely has Oregon's lack of political leadership been as painfully obvious as it is now on the topic of grid reliability.
 
Most of us take for granted the miracle of reliable electricity. We flip a switch and the lights come on. Computers, air conditioners, smartphones -- all powered by the magic of the grid. We don't care how electricity arrives; we just want it, every hour of the day.
 
One of the intriguing characteristics of the grid is that electricity must be consumed at the same time it is generated. It cannot be stored the way we can store water, oil or coal. As a consumer you can't go next door and borrow a cup of kilowatts. 
 
Supply and demand on the grid must be in equilibrium every minute of the day, to avoid blackouts. This makes power generation tricky. Utilities need electricity sources they can count on -- known as "baseload" power. They typically use coal, natural gas, nuclear and hydroelectric generators for this purpose.
 
The Oregon legislature declared war on reliable sources in 2007, when the first "Renewable Portfolio Standard" (RPS) law was passed. The RPS mandated that large utilities procure at least 25% of their power from politically-designated "renewable energy" sources by 2025. The most notable feature of this law was that it disallowed hydro dams built prior to 1995 to count as "renewable" energy -- creating the legal fiction that the Columbia River hydropower system did not exist. The point of this definition was to force utilities to switch to wind and solar.
 
The RPS mandate was doubled to 50% (by 2040) in 2016. This was fun for the legislative victors, in the same way that student government is fun for 10th graders demanding organic pizza on Fridays, but it had serious consequences for consumers. Electric utilities are shutting down coal plants without having a real plan for replacing baseload power. Wind and solar won't cut it; as "intermittent" sources, they fail to produce electricity about 70% the time. We can't run the grid on randomly-failing power generators.
 
The state's only coal-fired power plant, located near Boardman, is owned by Portland General Electric (PGE). Due to an environmental lawsuit that was settled a decade ago, Boardman is scheduled to close at the end of this year. Boardman has a nameplate capacity of 550 megawatts. When combined with other scheduled closures in the Northwest, nearly 2,000 megawatts of coal-fired generating capacity will retire in 2020. 
 
Due to additional closures scheduled in the next several years, electricity forecasters are now predicting power shortages as early as this year, and energy deficits of thousands of megawatts later in the decade.
 
PGE does not have a precise plan to replace Boardman. The utility expects to sign hydro contracts in the short term, as a transition strategy. But any weather-related fuel source can disappear, as happened in 2001 when the region experienced a low-water year. The result was a shortage of electricity, and the painful shutdown of the aluminum industry. Some 5,000 jobs in the Northwest disappeared.
 
PGE also expects to build or buy more wind and solar, coupled with battery storage. But the best utility-scale storage facility in the country can only deliver power for four hours.
 
The blackout crisis is at our door, but legislative leaders don't care. Instead of addressing a problem they created -- the RPS law - they wasted the 2020 short session trying to prevent "global climate" from the tiny outpost of Salem, Oregon. 
 
Oregon desperately needs adult leadership. Since legislators have checked out, perhaps utility leaders themselves should demand an end to this insanity. Here's a short agenda to consider:
  1. Investigate the possibility of extending the regulatory life of Boardman. The facility was designed to run for another 20 years. We should not shut it down unless all of its baseload power can be replaced by other reliable sources, at a reasonable cost.

     
  2. Consider asking the legislature to refer out a referendum to re-legalize nuclear power. Some of the most cutting-edge research on smaller-scale nuclear energy is being done here in Oregon, but any commercialization will have to take place elsewhere. It's time for a new public conversation on this subject.

     
  3. Repeal the RPS statute. Operating the grid is complicated enough; mandating the types of power sources utilities can use will only make things worse. 

Q and A with Kristin Meira, Executive Director, Pacific Northwest Waterways Association


What does Pacific Northwest Waterways Association do?


Pacific Northwest Waterways Association (PNWA) is a nonprofit, nonpartisan trade association that advocates for federal policies and funding in support of regional economic development. PNWA is a collaboration of businesses, public agencies and individuals who combine their economic and political strength in support of navigation, energy, trade and economic development throughout the Pacific Northwest. We've been around since 1934, and our membership has grown to include over 135 entities including public ports, barge companies, steamship operators, grain elevator operators, agricultural producers, forest products manufacturers, electric utilities, irrigation districts and public agencies throughout Washington, Oregon and Idaho. Our group takes pride in being a source of information in the region and in D.C., and we appreciate the opportunity to highlight how important infrastructure is to everyday life in the Northwest.

 


Last week Oregon Gov. Brown wrote to Washington Gov. Inslee stating that removing dams on the lower Snake River in Washington must be part of a comprehensive plan to save endangered salmon, steelhead and orcas. Brown wrote, "No other action has the potential to improve overall survival two- to three-fold and simultaneously address both the orca and salmon recovery dilemma." In response, Washington's three GOP congressional representatives, Dan Newhouse, Cathy McMorris Rodgers and Jaime Herrera Beutler issued this statement: "Gov. Brown's position is not only misguided, it is shocking and extreme." What do you think of Gov. Brown's proposal? Is it "shocking and extreme"?


We share Gov. Brown's passion for the recovery of the three southern resident orca pods that frequent Puget Sound and the Snake River salmon runs that make up a portion of those orcas' diet. We look to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) when it comes to expertise regarding salmon and orcas. NOAA is the federal agency responsible for the recovery of those species, and their scientists have done a tremendous amount of work to better understand what it will take to help fish and whales. What is clear -- there is no one action that can act as the silver bullet for salmon or orca recovery. Salmon and orca both migrate great distances, and as such, the impacts on those species occur in many different locations. Successful salmon and orca recovery won't occur with one discrete, extreme action in one part of the region. It needs to be a multi-generation commitment to changes and improvements that are region-wide in addition to a much larger conversation and effort to address ocean conditions and toxic pollution.

 


Gov. Inslee held meetings across Washington State to discuss the threat of orca extinction, as well as the status of the salmon and steelhead that make up a lot of the orcas' diet. Inslee is gathering views on the removal of the dams from stakeholders and will issue his report in March. Do you think Inslee will come to the same conclusion as Brown?


I think the views on Snake River dam removal were pretty well known already, and I question whether Washington taxpayer dollars needed to be spent on a survey of opinions. We appreciated the opportunity to provide our input, and were respectful of the process. However, with limited funds available for salmon and orca recovery, we would suggest that there are real projects around the region that could make a difference for those species in the near term, and would be a better use of recovery dollars. I would also point people to the work NOAA has done to evaluate all of the west coast Chinook salmon runs that make up the orcas' diet. NOAA highlights salmon stocks around the Salish Sea and Puget Sound as primary targets for recovery, as increases in those stocks will bring significant benefits for the orcas.
 

 

In response to Gov. Brown's proposal, Knute Buehler, candidate for Oregon's 2nd congressional district, issued this statement: "The Snake River dams were built to provide several benefits to the region, including a clean, carbon free renewable source of electricity, barge transportation, and irrigation for crops in the Columbia River Basin. Removing carbon-free hydro on the Snake River is the first step toward tearing out hydro on the Columbia River. This new Kate Brown position is radical and threatens critical Northwest energy and agriculture jobs." Is Buehler right? Is this the first step toward tearing out all hydroelectric dams on the Columbia River?


The dams are federal projects and were built to serve multiple purposes. We're hoping this is an opportunity to better educate Northwest residents about the important benefits of both the Snake and Columbia River dams. Many people are new to the region, and may not even realize the source of their electricity when they flip their light switch or charge their electric vehicle. We are very fortunate to have a renewable supply of power that is carbon free, and because hydropower is so reliable, it can serve as a source of "firm" power to help integrate intermittent renewables like wind and solar.

 


Your organization recently contracted a study to evaluate transportation impacts that would be caused by the Lower Snake River (LSR) dam breaching and closure of four LSR locks. Why did you conduct the study? Were you anticipating the Oregon governor's aggressive approach to Lower Snake River dam removal in 2020?


Though we didn't anticipate Gov. Brown's letter, our study provides important information that could be helpful to decision makers here in the region and in Washington, D.C. Our study reviewed just a few of the many impacts that would be sustained if barging were eliminated from the Snake River, including transportation cost increases, increased injuries and fatalities from moving cargo by different means, and the carbon and other emissions that would increase if barging went away.


Highlights from that study include:

  • The Columbia/Snake River system is the largest wheat gateway in the U.S., almost half of wheat exports arrive by barges moving through the Columbia River/Snake River system.
     
  • Removal of the four lower Snake River dams would cost the U.S. over $4 billion over the next 30 years.
     
  • Removing the Snake River locks would increase transportation costs by 50 to 100% for wheat exports and will increase diesel consumption by nearly 5 millions gallons per year.

     
  • The average annual farm income in the region is only $42,825, about 25% below the national average. Dam removal will put approximately 1,100 farms at risk of bankruptcy, as well as the 4,000 jobs the industry supports.

     
  • The carbon emissions increase from just removing barging transportation and moving the products by road and rail would be like building a coal plant every five or six years.

 

Does the public understand what's at stake? Do they have any idea of the impacts of Brown's proposal to breach the Lower Snake River dams?


Moving cargo by water is often an unseen, under-appreciated mode of transportation. Unlike roads, bridges, railroad tracks and airports, most people don't interact with channels, locks and other navigation infrastructure on a daily basis. We take for granted how products move, whether it is the stuff we grow and make in the U.S. for export, or the items we import for our own use.


The Snake River is an especially important part of our U.S. export system. Countless farm families and entire communities in the Palouse region would be devastated if they were to lose access to export markets for their high quality soft white wheat and other products. These farmers and other producers are shipping to very challenging overseas markets, and domestic transportation rates are all part of the equation when it comes to keeping U.S. products competitive overseas. Other countries are investing in their transportation infrastructure, because they recognize that it is the difference between their citizens being competitive or not. It makes no sense to take an extreme action that would devastate U.S. supply chains, when there are so many other actions that would have a beneficial impact for Northwest fish runs and orcas.


 

In vehement opposition to pending "cap and trade" legislation, Oregon's new grassroots political movement, Timber Unity, set a Guinness World Record with the longest truck convoy in history. Do you anticipate a similar populist push back from your members and farmers with regard to dam removal?


The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Bonneville Power Administration and Bureau of Reclamation are jointly releasing a draft plan for Columbia Basin dams on February 28. This plan has to balance of lot of objectives: operating the dams for hydropower, irrigation, flood control, navigation, recreation ... all while avoiding impacts to ESA-listed species. The plan has been under development for nearly four years, and to say it is highly anticipated is an understatement! The federal agencies have a tough task. As humans, we expect a lot from our rivers. We know the plan will likely have elements we support and elements that give us concern, as will be the case for many interests in the region. We also know the plan will result in significant press coverage of the rivers, and our members are planning to use this opportunity to educate the region about healthy rivers that meet many goals -- clean power, efficient transportation, irrigation for high quality crops, protection from flooding, recreation and strong fish run.

 

 

Oregon Transformation Newsletter is a project of
Third Century Solutions
Principals: Bridget Barton and Jim Pasero
Send comments to: Jim@ThirdCenturySolutions.com